2012 electoral college projection

Popular Vote November 5, Electoral Vote vs.

2012 electoral college projection

Hmm, seeing that Minnesota is projected to lose an EV inwhen does it gain one back? The map for is based on census projections, in particular an interim projection made in based on data.

It assumes that trends in death rates, fertility rates, migration rates, etc. So for example, they will take the population of a state and estimate based on the age distribution of females and the age-based fertility rate how many babies will be born.

Similarly it estimates the number of deaths per age, and so on for migration, both interstate and international. InMinnesota was entitled to 7. The projection data showed Minnesota growing at almost the same rate as the country did over the next 30 years and staying around 7. The apportionment estimate for was based on census estimates the latest is for Julywith the annual growth rate for toprojected forward to The estimated population for Minnesota was 0.

Put in other terms, the projection had Minnesota growing a 0.

Mile High Delphi: Electoral vote projection Intrade home page. Yes, I think it is going to be a very close election and will be decided by only a few states. As you can see in my map
Bermuda Government from July 19, , Bush and John Kerry. John McCain 52 percent to 46 percent—closely mirrored the election's outcome.
State results Michael Barone issues a bold prediction: Fundamentals usually prevail in American elections.

The difference over 5 years is 48, people. Meanwhile the estimated population for the USA was 0. This produces an additional decrease in the relative share of the population for Minnesota. If trends based on the estimates continue, Minnesota will be entitled to around 7.

But since Minnesota is crossing a rounding threshold it may lose the 8th seat.Feb 19, ELECTION CALENDAR for PRESIDENTIAL, CONGRESSIONAL, and STATE NOMINATING EVENTS This space will include a list of events on the political calendar for , i.e., events in which voters may participate in the nomination of candidates.

Media and Elections. The media are essential to democracy, and a democratic election is impossible without media.

A free and fair election is not only about the freedom to vote and the knowledge of how to cast a vote, but also about a participatory process where voters engage in public debate and have adequate information about parties, policies, candidates and the election process itself in.

Presidential Election: Make your own Electoral College Map (early predictions) page: 1.

2012 electoral college projection

6 2 >> log in. join. share: I'll be posting my projection map as a reply. But here are some of their maps that they have. Obama has an early lead on Romney and is only 49 electoral college votes away from winning based on the current polling.

Apr 30,  · Of course, the problem is, that the more the electoral college favors the Republicans, it is possible that it also be easier for them to gain control of Congress.

It is virtually impossible to change or abolish the electoral college without both parties help. The project, which is based on a weekly tracking poll of more than 15, Americans, shows that the presidential race could end in a photo finish on Nov.

2012 electoral college projection

8, with the major-party candidates. The official U.S. Electoral College web site, providing current information about the presidential election, information about the roles and responsibilities of state officials and Electors, instructions for state officials and Electors, the timeline of key dates for the presidential election, information about laws and legal requirements related to the presidential election and the Electors.

Presidential Race - Election Results by State | NBC News